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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.39+4.03vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.83+5.00vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.43+2.04vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.71+3.54vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+4.48vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.50+2.43vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+0.33vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.06-1.90vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.23+0.41vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.20-0.79vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.78-0.07vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.59-4.12vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.58-4.93vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.52-5.76vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.28-0.20vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.52-1.52vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.72-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Yale University3.390.2%1st Place
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7.0Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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5.04Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.54Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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8.43Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.33Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.1Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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9.41University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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10.93Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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7.88Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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8.07Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.24Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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14.8Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
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14.48McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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14.04Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Arnone | 15.9% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.5% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sam Morrell | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Christian Moffitt | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 3.1% |
| Thomas Walden | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| David Wood | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Payton Thompson | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Gregory Dillon | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 11.6% | 22.6% | 39.8% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 13.7% | 25.9% | 29.4% |
| Mott Blair | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 16.9% | 23.9% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.