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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.90+4.58vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.69+8.03vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.47+4.21vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44+3.38vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.82+0.91vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.80+0.21vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.13+1.44vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.83+1.39vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.36-1.19vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.65-3.54vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.57-3.97vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.35-0.77vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.96-3.75vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.04-1.63vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.74-1.93vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.98-6.91vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-1.46-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.03Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
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7.21Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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7.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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5.91Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.21University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.44Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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9.39Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
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7.81Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.46Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.03Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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11.23University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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9.25Tufts University1.960.0%1st Place
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12.37Tufts University1.040.0%1st Place
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13.07McGill University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.09Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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16.55Maine Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Marwell | 11.8% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Tellini | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 0.6% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 11.2% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Read | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Francis Doyle | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 0.4% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Ian Moran | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 2.1% |
| Austen Freda | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 22.5% | 3.7% |
| Trevor Donovan | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 30.9% | 6.8% |
| Alex Bowdler | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Drago | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 7.7% | 84.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.