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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.65+5.38vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.57+4.81vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.69+7.07vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.82+2.11vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44+2.18vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.90-0.09vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.47+0.26vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.36-0.54vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.83+0.77vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.80-4.00vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.96-1.78vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.98-3.01vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.13-4.43vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.04-1.62vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.35-3.82vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.74-2.83vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-1.46-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.81Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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10.07Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
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6.11Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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5.91Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.26Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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7.46Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.77Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
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6.0University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.22Tufts University1.960.0%1st Place
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8.99Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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8.57Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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12.38Tufts University1.040.0%1st Place
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11.18University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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13.17McGill University0.740.0%1st Place
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16.56Maine Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Moran | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Tellini | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 0.9% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 8.4% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 10.0% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Francis Doyle | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 0.6% |
| Aidan naughton | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Austen Freda | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Alex Bowdler | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Riley Read | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 22.8% | 3.2% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 1.8% |
| Trevor Donovan | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 29.7% | 7.3% |
| Alexander Drago | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 7.4% | 84.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.