← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.90+4.67vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University1.83+7.56vs Predicted
-
3Boston University2.57+3.85vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College1.69+6.14vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.80+0.95vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.65+0.75vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.96+2.09vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.47-0.85vs Predicted
-
9Yale University2.82-2.81vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University2.36-2.54vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-3.52vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.13-3.49vs Predicted
-
13Maine Maritime Academy-1.46+3.39vs Predicted
-
14McGill University0.74-0.79vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont1.35-3.78vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University1.98-6.89vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University1.04-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.67Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
-
9.56Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
-
6.85Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
-
10.14Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
-
5.95University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
-
6.75Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
-
9.09Tufts University1.960.0%1st Place
-
7.15Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
-
6.19Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
-
7.46Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
-
7.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
-
8.51Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
-
16.39Maine Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
-
13.21McGill University0.740.0%1st Place
-
11.22University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
-
9.11Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
-
12.27Tufts University1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Marwell | 12.6% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francis Doyle | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Tellini | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 1.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Moran | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Austen Freda | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Riley Read | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Drago | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 84.9% |
| Trevor Donovan | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 16.4% | 33.0% | 6.1% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 2.3% |
| Alex Bowdler | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 17.5% | 21.5% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.