← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.90+4.57vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.82+3.91vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.96+6.10vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College1.69+6.07vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont1.35+6.13vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.13+2.65vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University1.83+2.60vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.80-2.05vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.65-2.25vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.04+2.21vs Predicted
-
11McGill University0.74+2.11vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-4.63vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University2.36-5.23vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University1.98-4.85vs Predicted
-
15Boston University2.57-8.14vs Predicted
-
16Boston College2.47-8.78vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy-1.46-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.57Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
-
5.91Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
-
9.1Tufts University1.960.0%1st Place
-
10.07Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
-
11.13University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
-
8.65Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
-
9.6Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
-
5.95University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
-
6.75Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
-
12.21Tufts University1.040.0%1st Place
-
13.11McGill University0.740.0%1st Place
-
7.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
-
7.77Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
-
9.15Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
-
6.86Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
-
7.22Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
-
16.58Maine Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Marwell | 13.8% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 11.2% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Austen Freda | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Michael Tellini | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 2.1% |
| Riley Read | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Francis Doyle | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Aidan naughton | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Moran | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 3.5% |
| Trevor Donovan | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 15.4% | 32.4% | 6.4% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Alex Bowdler | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Drago | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 7.8% | 84.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.