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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.80+4.90vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.82+3.92vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.90+2.75vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.13+4.51vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.69+4.89vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.36+1.80vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.57-0.07vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.47-0.87vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.65-2.27vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.98-1.08vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.83-1.29vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.96-2.96vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-5.55vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.35-2.62vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.04-2.76vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.74-2.84vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-1.46-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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5.92Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.75Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.51Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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9.89Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
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7.8Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.93Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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7.13Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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6.73Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.92Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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9.71Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.04Tufts University1.960.0%1st Place
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7.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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11.38University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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12.24Tufts University1.040.0%1st Place
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13.16McGill University0.740.0%1st Place
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16.56Maine Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan naughton | 13.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 12.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Read | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Michael Tellini | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 0.9% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ian Moran | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 0.1% |
| Francis Doyle | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 0.8% |
| Austen Freda | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 16.5% | 22.1% | 3.5% |
| Trevor Donovan | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 16.2% | 29.0% | 7.3% |
| Alexander Drago | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 7.4% | 84.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.