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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.57+5.67vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.83+7.50vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.90+2.70vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.65+2.63vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.96+3.92vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.80+0.25vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44+0.35vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.47-0.91vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.82-2.82vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.35+1.24vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.04+1.30vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.69-1.99vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.13-4.37vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.36-6.29vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.98-5.95vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.74-2.80vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-1.46-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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9.5Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
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5.7Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.63Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University1.960.0%1st Place
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6.25University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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7.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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7.09Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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6.18Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.24University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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12.3Tufts University1.040.0%1st Place
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10.01Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
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8.63Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.71Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.05Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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13.2McGill University0.740.0%1st Place
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16.57Maine Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Francis Doyle | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 11.3% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Moran | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Austen Freda | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Aidan naughton | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 23.1% | 4.4% |
| Michael Tellini | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 0.8% |
| Riley Read | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Donovan | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 29.6% | 7.4% |
| Alexander Drago | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 9.1% | 83.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.