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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Tyler Rice 12.7% 12.4% 13.3% 11.8% 12.0% 12.9% 8.5% 8.3% 4.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Robert Lippincott 5.6% 6.1% 9.2% 8.6% 9.6% 8.5% 13.5% 12.3% 12.0% 8.4% 5.2% 1.0%
Kyle Carney 15.1% 14.0% 15.6% 11.2% 11.3% 12.4% 7.5% 6.6% 4.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Nicolas Russo-Larsson 17.7% 18.6% 14.0% 13.7% 12.0% 8.4% 7.9% 4.2% 2.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Elizabeth Whipple 13.8% 16.2% 13.7% 12.4% 11.7% 9.8% 8.1% 7.1% 4.0% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Katii Gullick 10.7% 9.9% 9.3% 11.8% 12.4% 9.9% 11.2% 10.9% 7.2% 4.6% 1.8% 0.3%
Andrew Moakes 7.8% 7.5% 7.9% 9.6% 9.5% 10.0% 10.0% 13.1% 11.0% 8.6% 3.8% 1.2%
Ted Netland 1.9% 2.5% 2.9% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 6.7% 7.1% 10.7% 16.5% 25.1% 16.7%
Jeremy Siegel 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 1.2% 0.5% 1.8% 2.3% 3.0% 7.3% 9.3% 18.0% 54.5%
Christopher Hulse 3.1% 3.3% 3.5% 3.8% 4.4% 5.2% 7.4% 9.8% 14.9% 19.4% 16.5% 8.7%
Jessica Hoffman 2.1% 2.2% 1.2% 2.1% 3.2% 5.6% 5.4% 6.6% 11.2% 18.6% 25.0% 16.8%
Tom Peabody 8.8% 6.4% 8.9% 10.9% 9.7% 12.2% 11.5% 11.0% 10.5% 7.0% 2.6% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.