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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.23+3.65vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.54+4.33vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.36+1.30vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.56-0.16vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.33-0.64vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-0.73vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.59-0.92vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.29+1.07vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University0.34+1.73vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy1.62-1.67vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.32-1.78vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.74-6.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.33Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.3Salve Regina University3.360.2%1st Place
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3.84Tufts University3.560.2%1st Place
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4.36Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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5.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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9.07Middlebury College1.290.0%1st Place
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10.73Brandeis University0.340.0%1st Place
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8.33Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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9.22Northeastern University1.320.0%1st Place
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5.81Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Rice | 12.7% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 5.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 15.1% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 17.7% | 18.6% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 13.8% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katii Gullick | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Moakes | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Ted Netland | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 16.5% | 25.1% | 16.7% |
| Jeremy Siegel | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 18.0% | 54.5% |
| Christopher Hulse | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 19.4% | 16.5% | 8.7% |
| Jessica Hoffman | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 18.6% | 25.0% | 16.8% |
| Tom Peabody | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.