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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.82+4.87vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.69+7.97vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.36+4.61vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.57+2.91vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.13+3.30vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.47+1.36vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.90-1.28vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.80-1.99vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.35+2.41vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-2.82vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.83-1.30vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.96-2.92vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.65-6.30vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.04-1.61vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.98-5.97vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.74-2.81vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-1.46-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.97Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
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7.61Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.91Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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8.3Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.36Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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5.72Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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11.41University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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7.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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9.7Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.08Tufts University1.960.0%1st Place
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6.7Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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12.39Tufts University1.040.0%1st Place
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9.03Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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13.19McGill University0.740.0%1st Place
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16.57Maine Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan DiMarchi | 12.0% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Tellini | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 0.4% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Riley Read | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 2.2% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Francis Doyle | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Austen Freda | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Ian Moran | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 16.9% | 23.0% | 3.7% |
| Alex Bowdler | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Donovan | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 16.3% | 28.9% | 7.5% |
| Alexander Drago | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 7.8% | 84.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.