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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.49+0.21vs Predicted
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2Miami University-1.32+1.16vs Predicted
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4University of Iowa-0.43-1.60vs Predicted
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5Miami University-2.03-1.24vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-2.96-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.21University of Illinois1.490.8%1st Place
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3.16Miami University-1.320.0%1st Place
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2.4University of Iowa-0.430.1%1st Place
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3.76Miami University-2.030.0%1st Place
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4.48Indiana University-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 81.7% | 16.2% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erin Gallagher | 4.1% | 20.7% | 38.3% | 29.4% | 7.5% |
| Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen | 11.7% | 49.5% | 27.6% | 9.5% | 1.7% |
| Jacob Maher | 1.9% | 10.3% | 22.0% | 41.3% | 24.5% |
| John Alexis | 0.6% | 3.3% | 10.1% | 19.7% | 66.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.