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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.49+0.19vs Predicted
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2Miami University-1.64+1.33vs Predicted
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3University of Iowa-0.43-0.68vs Predicted
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5Miami University-2.16-1.24vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-2.96-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.19University of Illinois1.490.8%1st Place
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3.33Miami University-1.640.0%1st Place
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2.32University of Iowa-0.430.1%1st Place
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3.76Miami University-2.160.0%1st Place
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4.41Indiana University-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 82.7% | 15.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Jones | 3.3% | 15.8% | 36.7% | 33.4% | 10.8% |
| Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen | 11.8% | 54.9% | 24.2% | 7.9% | 1.2% |
| Jack Brownlee | 1.6% | 9.9% | 25.2% | 37.6% | 25.7% |
| John Alexis | 0.6% | 3.7% | 12.4% | 21.0% | 62.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.