Race 5A

open-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Kelly Holthus 20.8% 18.6% 16.3% 13.7% 11.8% 9.2% 5.5% 3.2% 0.7%
Emma Tallman 12.3% 12.4% 12.2% 13.9% 13.8% 11.5% 12.0% 8.9% 3.0%
Peter Foley 12.1% 12.7% 11.0% 11.8% 11.7% 13.8% 13.7% 9.4% 3.8%
Hank Seum 9.2% 9.4% 12.0% 11.8% 13.7% 14.9% 13.5% 11.0% 4.6%
Ricky Miller 5.9% 6.4% 7.3% 7.5% 8.5% 9.3% 13.6% 26.3% 15.2%
William Styslinger 11.2% 11.7% 11.8% 12.3% 11.8% 13.2% 12.5% 11.5% 4.0%
Matheo Graham-capasso 13.7% 13.2% 13.1% 13.8% 13.5% 11.2% 11.1% 8.6% 1.9%
Dylan Sih 13.0% 13.8% 14.1% 11.9% 12.1% 12.1% 11.7% 9.1% 2.2%
Zachary Aronson 1.8% 1.7% 2.1% 3.2% 3.2% 4.9% 6.6% 11.9% 64.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.