Race 10B

wood

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Elizabeth Whipple 13.9% 13.7% 12.7% 13.8% 12.2% 11.3% 10.1% 6.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
Robert Lippincott 5.1% 8.5% 9.5% 7.5% 9.0% 9.8% 11.4% 13.3% 11.8% 8.8% 4.4% 0.9%
Kyle Carney 16.4% 13.0% 14.1% 12.2% 11.2% 12.4% 8.8% 6.3% 3.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Katii Gullick 8.8% 10.3% 11.3% 11.5% 12.6% 11.1% 9.9% 8.9% 9.4% 4.2% 2.0% 0.0%
Christopher Hulse 1.6% 3.4% 3.4% 4.2% 5.0% 5.6% 6.7% 9.9% 13.1% 17.8% 19.2% 10.1%
Nicolas Russo-Larsson 19.0% 17.3% 13.7% 15.4% 10.7% 9.7% 5.5% 5.0% 2.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Andrew Moakes 8.1% 7.1% 8.2% 9.1% 9.8% 9.5% 11.3% 13.3% 9.9% 8.9% 3.2% 1.6%
Tyler Rice 14.4% 14.0% 12.8% 11.7% 10.6% 11.5% 9.5% 7.3% 4.4% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Jessica Hoffman 1.8% 1.3% 2.1% 2.3% 3.2% 5.2% 5.8% 9.6% 12.9% 18.5% 23.3% 14.0%
Tom Peabody 8.2% 8.4% 8.7% 9.3% 12.2% 9.1% 12.6% 10.6% 10.9% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7%
Jeremy Siegel 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.9% 1.4% 2.8% 2.9% 4.3% 9.0% 18.3% 57.1%
Ted Netland 1.7% 2.0% 2.6% 2.6% 2.6% 3.4% 5.6% 6.9% 13.3% 19.6% 24.5% 15.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.