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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University-2.86+2.06vs Predicted
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2Indiana University-2.39+0.48vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-2.42-1.48vs Predicted
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5Miami University-3.13-1.69vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-3.35-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Miami University-2.860.2%1st Place
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2.48Indiana University-2.390.3%1st Place
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2.52University of Illinois-2.420.3%1st Place
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3.31Miami University-3.130.1%1st Place
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3.63University of Iowa-3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Cummings | 18.6% | 18.2% | 22.0% | 21.3% | 19.9% |
| Emily Lavey | 29.5% | 24.2% | 22.7% | 15.6% | 8.0% |
| Katie Benstead | 29.1% | 24.2% | 21.5% | 16.3% | 8.9% |
| Ryan Sarver | 12.7% | 19.1% | 18.9% | 23.3% | 26.0% |
| Michael Gartlan | 10.1% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 23.5% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.