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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University-2.39+1.50vs Predicted
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2Miami University-3.13+1.38vs Predicted
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3Miami University-2.86+0.01vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-2.42-1.51vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-3.35-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Indiana University-2.390.3%1st Place
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3.38Miami University-3.130.1%1st Place
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3.01Miami University-2.860.2%1st Place
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2.49University of Illinois-2.420.3%1st Place
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3.61University of Iowa-3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lavey | 29.2% | 25.9% | 21.1% | 12.8% | 11.0% |
| Ryan Sarver | 11.8% | 15.8% | 21.2% | 24.8% | 26.4% |
| Jake Cummings | 17.5% | 20.8% | 21.6% | 22.9% | 17.2% |
| Katie Benstead | 29.8% | 24.7% | 21.0% | 15.7% | 8.8% |
| Michael Gartlan | 11.7% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 23.8% | 36.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.