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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University-3.13+2.34vs Predicted
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2University of Iowa-3.35+1.64vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-2.42-0.48vs Predicted
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4Miami University-2.86-0.99vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-2.39-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Miami University-3.130.1%1st Place
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3.64University of Iowa-3.350.1%1st Place
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2.52University of Illinois-2.420.3%1st Place
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3.01Miami University-2.860.2%1st Place
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2.49Indiana University-2.390.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sarver | 13.5% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 22.9% | 27.4% |
| Michael Gartlan | 9.8% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 25.0% | 35.9% |
| Katie Benstead | 28.2% | 25.4% | 21.6% | 15.7% | 9.1% |
| Jake Cummings | 18.9% | 19.8% | 21.8% | 20.6% | 18.9% |
| Emily Lavey | 29.6% | 24.9% | 21.0% | 15.8% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.