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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University-2.39+1.47vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois-2.42+0.52vs Predicted
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4Miami University-3.13-0.65vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-3.35-1.38vs Predicted
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6Miami University-2.86-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Indiana University-2.390.3%1st Place
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2.52University of Illinois-2.420.3%1st Place
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3.35Miami University-3.130.1%1st Place
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3.62University of Iowa-3.350.1%1st Place
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3.03Miami University-2.860.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lavey | 29.7% | 26.4% | 20.1% | 14.6% | 9.2% |
| Katie Benstead | 27.7% | 24.7% | 23.6% | 15.7% | 8.3% |
| Ryan Sarver | 13.8% | 15.9% | 18.7% | 24.3% | 27.3% |
| Michael Gartlan | 10.2% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 22.9% | 36.8% |
| Jake Cummings | 18.6% | 18.7% | 21.8% | 22.5% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.