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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University-2.39+1.66vs Predicted
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2Miami University-2.12+0.33vs Predicted
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3Miami University-3.13+0.53vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-3.35-1.21vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-2.42-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Indiana University-2.390.2%1st Place
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2.33Miami University-2.120.3%1st Place
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3.53Miami University-3.130.1%1st Place
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3.79University of Iowa-3.350.1%1st Place
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2.69University of Illinois-2.420.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lavey | 24.9% | 24.7% | 20.7% | 18.6% | 11.1% |
| Anna Bloomquist | 32.2% | 26.5% | 22.4% | 13.6% | 5.3% |
| Ryan Sarver | 10.8% | 14.0% | 18.9% | 24.2% | 32.1% |
| Michael Gartlan | 8.7% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 23.8% | 41.3% |
| Katie Benstead | 23.4% | 24.3% | 22.3% | 19.8% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.