← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Iowa-3.35+2.75vs Predicted
-
2Miami University-2.12+0.34vs Predicted
-
4Indiana University-2.39-1.33vs Predicted
-
5Miami University-3.13-1.49vs Predicted
-
6University of Illinois-2.42-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.75University of Iowa-3.350.1%1st Place
-
2.34Miami University-2.120.3%1st Place
-
2.67Indiana University-2.390.2%1st Place
-
3.51Miami University-3.130.1%1st Place
-
2.73University of Illinois-2.420.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Gartlan | 9.9% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 24.9% | 40.2% |
| Anna Bloomquist | 31.4% | 27.1% | 23.1% | 13.2% | 5.2% |
| Emily Lavey | 24.0% | 24.4% | 22.3% | 18.9% | 10.4% |
| Ryan Sarver | 11.1% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 25.1% | 31.5% |
| Katie Benstead | 23.6% | 22.7% | 23.1% | 17.9% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.