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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.64+5.53vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+1.62vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.11+2.27vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.53+3.08vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook1.41+2.29vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute-1.16+8.79vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.99+1.88vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.06+0.44vs Predicted
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9Princeton University2.35-4.30vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.16+2.43vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.00-2.06vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-3.92vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-1.51+2.21vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.29-6.03vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-5.21vs Predicted
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16Villanova University0.91-6.81vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-1.19-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.640.1%1st Place
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3.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.2%1st Place
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5.27Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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7.08Cornell University1.530.1%1st Place
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7.29SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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14.79Webb Institute-1.160.0%1st Place
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8.88Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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8.44SUNY Maritime College1.060.1%1st Place
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4.7Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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12.43Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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8.94Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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15.21Princeton University-1.510.0%1st Place
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7.97SUNY Maritime College1.290.0%1st Place
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9.79Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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9.19Villanova University0.910.0%1st Place
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14.81U. S. Military Academy-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Green | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Carraway | 21.8% | 18.8% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sajan Alagiri | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Flanagan | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 9.5% | 19.2% | 27.6% | 26.5% |
| Matthew Alfano | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Christian Neuman | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Connor Mraz | 13.6% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 19.7% | 11.0% | 3.2% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| David Pearce | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Mandelbaum | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 14.5% | 25.6% | 41.0% |
| John Wilcenski | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Townsend Morey | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Owen Ward | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Henry Jensen | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 17.8% | 26.0% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.