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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.28+2.51vs Predicted
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2Stanford University1.82+2.33vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.69+1.65vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.81+0.42vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.84-0.66vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.67-1.31vs Predicted
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7Rice University0.91-0.80vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.45-3.09vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-0.26-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Tulane University2.2819.7%1st Place
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4.33Stanford University1.8213.5%1st Place
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4.65Florida State University1.6911.3%1st Place
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4.42College of Charleston1.8113.5%1st Place
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4.34Tulane University1.8413.2%1st Place
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4.69University of Wisconsin1.6710.5%1st Place
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6.2Rice University0.915.7%1st Place
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4.91Jacksonville University1.4510.8%1st Place
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7.94Texas A&M University-0.261.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Kelly Holthus | 19.7% | 19.3% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
Dylan Sih | 13.5% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 2.2% |
Peter Foley | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 3.6% |
Emma Tallman | 13.5% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 2.6% |
Matheo Graham-capasso | 13.2% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
William Styslinger | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 3.5% |
Ricky Miller | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 25.7% | 16.6% |
Hank Seum | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 4.5% |
Zachary Aronson | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 13.8% | 63.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.