Race 12B

wood

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Robert Lippincott 6.5% 6.0% 8.3% 8.3% 7.6% 10.9% 11.4% 12.6% 13.0% 10.8% 3.6% 1.0%
Elizabeth Whipple 13.5% 15.2% 13.5% 12.0% 12.5% 9.3% 11.1% 5.9% 5.0% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Kyle Carney 16.4% 13.5% 13.0% 12.8% 12.9% 10.5% 8.5% 7.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Andrew Moakes 6.0% 6.8% 8.5% 8.2% 10.5% 10.4% 11.3% 11.2% 12.8% 9.7% 3.7% 0.9%
Tyler Rice 12.5% 14.2% 13.1% 12.9% 9.5% 10.8% 8.9% 8.6% 5.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Nicolas Russo-Larsson 19.2% 15.8% 16.1% 12.6% 11.7% 9.5% 6.3% 4.3% 3.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Jessica Hoffman 2.5% 3.0% 2.1% 2.5% 3.8% 4.4% 6.7% 7.5% 12.5% 17.4% 23.6% 14.0%
Christopher Hulse 3.1% 3.0% 3.6% 4.0% 5.2% 5.6% 6.2% 10.0% 14.1% 18.5% 18.0% 8.7%
Katii Gullick 9.7% 10.8% 11.0% 12.9% 11.7% 11.6% 10.2% 11.0% 6.5% 3.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Tom Peabody 8.0% 8.8% 8.6% 10.5% 9.7% 10.7% 12.6% 11.4% 9.9% 6.0% 3.1% 0.7%
Ted Netland 2.1% 2.0% 1.6% 2.0% 3.2% 4.4% 5.1% 8.1% 10.0% 17.8% 26.0% 17.7%
Jeremy Siegel 0.5% 0.9% 0.6% 1.3% 1.7% 1.9% 1.7% 2.4% 3.9% 9.2% 19.1% 56.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.