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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+4.24vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.64+4.78vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.35+1.64vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-0.21vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+1.90vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology0.72+4.07vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.29+0.99vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.00+0.73vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.06-0.04vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.09+2.41vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook1.41-3.29vs Predicted
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12Villanova University0.91-2.77vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy-1.19+1.86vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute-1.16+0.86vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-1.07-0.43vs Predicted
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16Fordham University0.99-6.94vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.53-9.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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6.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.640.1%1st Place
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4.64Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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3.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.2%1st Place
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6.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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10.07Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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7.99SUNY Maritime College1.290.1%1st Place
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8.73Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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8.96SUNY Maritime College1.060.0%1st Place
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12.41Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.71SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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9.23Villanova University0.910.0%1st Place
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14.86U. S. Military Academy-1.190.0%1st Place
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14.86Webb Institute-1.160.0%1st Place
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14.57Drexel University-1.070.0%1st Place
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9.06Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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7.21Cornell University1.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Green | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 14.5% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Carraway | 20.7% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Townsend Morey | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| John Wilcenski | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Christian Neuman | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Rosenzweig | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 4.6% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Owen Ward | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Henry Jensen | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 6.6% | 14.6% | 29.1% | 32.7% |
| Ryan Flanagan | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 15.7% | 24.1% | 33.7% |
| Stephen Young | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 18.0% | 25.2% | 27.2% |
| Matthew Alfano | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Sajan Alagiri | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.