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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+5.63vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.54+0.52vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.26+2.22vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.18+6.04vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.36+3.11vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.49+1.64vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.57-3.46vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.23-0.71vs Predicted
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10Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32+0.22vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.34-0.55vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.35-1.62vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.91-6.76vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-4.67vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-0.42-4.48vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute-0.56-4.88vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-2.12-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.1%1st Place
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2.52Cornell University2.540.4%1st Place
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5.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.260.1%1st Place
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10.04Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.360.0%1st Place
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7.64SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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4.54Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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8.29Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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10.22Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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10.45SUNY Maritime College-0.340.0%1st Place
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10.38Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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6.24Fordham University0.910.1%1st Place
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9.33SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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10.52Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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11.12Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
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14.73U. S. Military Academy-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Modin | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Lilly Myers | 36.7% | 24.5% | 16.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Flaherty | 9.5% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 3.9% |
| James Ozaki | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Clara Guarascio | 3.5% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Max Gillette | 14.1% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Alex Wiggins | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 4.5% |
| Bobby Whitley | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 5.0% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 4.0% |
| David Adipietro | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Abigail Proko | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 5.1% |
| Thomas Hickey | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 7.0% |
| Chloe Headrick | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 12.0% | 66.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.