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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.54+1.39vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.18+7.75vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.57+1.42vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+2.86vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32+5.35vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.35+4.51vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.49+0.73vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.91-1.85vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.23-1.54vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.42-0.30vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College-0.34-1.64vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-3.64vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.26-8.88vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-2.12-0.40vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.36-7.88vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute-0.56-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39Cornell University2.540.4%1st Place
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9.75Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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4.42Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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6.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.1%1st Place
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10.35Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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10.51Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.73SUNY Maritime College0.490.1%1st Place
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6.15Fordham University0.910.1%1st Place
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8.46Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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10.7Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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10.36SUNY Maritime College-0.340.0%1st Place
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9.36SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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5.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.260.1%1st Place
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14.6U. S. Military Academy-2.120.0%1st Place
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8.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.360.0%1st Place
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11.12Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lilly Myers | 37.8% | 25.7% | 17.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 3.6% |
| Max Gillette | 13.4% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Modin | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wiggins | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 4.1% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 5.7% |
| Clara Guarascio | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| David Adipietro | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Abigail Proko | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 5.1% |
| Bobby Whitley | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 4.6% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 2.4% |
| Anna Flaherty | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Headrick | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 63.6% |
| James Ozaki | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Hickey | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.