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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.74+2.80vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.10+1.30vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut1.72+2.59vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.97-0.48vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.55-2.38vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.25-1.30vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College1.55-1.11vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.03-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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3.3Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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5.59University of Connecticut1.720.1%1st Place
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3.52Boston College2.970.2%1st Place
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2.62Boston College3.550.3%1st Place
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4.7Tufts University2.250.1%1st Place
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5.89Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
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6.58Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Mumma | 14.5% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 17.6% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Genoa Warner | 19.8% | 18.2% | 19.0% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Presti | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 19.0% | 23.2% | 19.1% |
| Ian Donahue | 16.2% | 18.4% | 17.7% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Mullins | 30.6% | 24.7% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Denney | 7.8% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 18.3% | 13.4% | 8.3% |
| Alexander Strothe | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 24.6% | 25.4% |
| Colin Henderson | 1.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 13.1% | 23.2% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.