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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.54+1.44vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.49+5.58vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.26+2.25vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+2.83vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.57-0.55vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.35+4.48vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.23+1.55vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.91-1.86vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.03+0.32vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.36-2.92vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.18-2.15vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.34-2.68vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-3.73vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-2.12-0.39vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute-0.56-4.85vs Predicted
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17Drexel University-0.42-6.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Cornell University2.540.4%1st Place
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7.58SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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5.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.260.1%1st Place
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6.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.1%1st Place
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4.45Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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10.48Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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8.55Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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6.14Fordham University0.910.1%1st Place
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9.32SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.360.0%1st Place
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9.85Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.32SUNY Maritime College-0.340.0%1st Place
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10.27Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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14.61U. S. Military Academy-2.120.0%1st Place
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11.15Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
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10.69Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lilly Myers | 37.2% | 25.0% | 17.2% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 3.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Anna Flaherty | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Modin | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 12.6% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 5.7% |
| Andrew Vernon | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| David Adipietro | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| James Ozaki | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Connor Larson | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 3.6% |
| Bobby Whitley | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 4.9% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 4.4% |
| Chloe Headrick | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 63.4% |
| Thomas Hickey | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 7.1% |
| Abigail Proko | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.