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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.57+3.32vs Predicted
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2Washington College0.23+6.38vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.54-0.49vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.18+5.03vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.35+4.49vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.91-0.68vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32+2.39vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.42+1.49vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.49-2.45vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-1.56vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.26-6.76vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76-6.23vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.36-5.98vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.34-4.74vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-2.12-1.36vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute-0.56-5.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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8.38Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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2.51Cornell University2.540.4%1st Place
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10.03Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.49Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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6.32Fordham University0.910.1%1st Place
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10.39Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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10.49Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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7.55SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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9.44SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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5.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.260.1%1st Place
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6.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.1%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.360.0%1st Place
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10.26SUNY Maritime College-0.340.0%1st Place
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14.64U. S. Military Academy-2.120.0%1st Place
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11.16Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Gillette | 14.8% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Lilly Myers | 35.2% | 25.1% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 3.5% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 4.4% |
| David Adipietro | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wiggins | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 4.2% |
| Abigail Proko | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 4.7% |
| Clara Guarascio | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Anna Flaherty | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Modin | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| James Ozaki | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Bobby Whitley | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 4.3% |
| Chloe Headrick | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 67.0% |
| Thomas Hickey | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.