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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.54+1.31vs Predicted
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2Washington College0.23+5.87vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+2.26vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.91+0.94vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.03+2.89vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.49+0.25vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32+1.85vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82-5.46vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute-0.56+0.45vs Predicted
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11Villanova University-1.09+1.25vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.36-4.45vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.34-3.18vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.35-4.14vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-0.42-5.03vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-0.33-6.12vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-2.01-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31Cornell University2.540.4%1st Place
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7.87Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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6.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.1%1st Place
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5.94Fordham University0.910.1%1st Place
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8.89SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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7.25SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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9.85Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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3.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.2%1st Place
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10.45Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
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12.25Villanova University-1.090.0%1st Place
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7.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.360.0%1st Place
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9.82SUNY Maritime College-0.340.0%1st Place
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9.86Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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9.97Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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9.88Princeton University-0.330.0%1st Place
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14.31U. S. Military Academy-2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lilly Myers | 40.0% | 25.6% | 15.5% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 3.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Modin | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| David Adipietro | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Clara Guarascio | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Alex Wiggins | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 4.2% |
| Bridget Lawless | 18.9% | 20.7% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hickey | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 5.8% |
| Joe Cooner | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 21.0% | 16.6% |
| James Ozaki | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Bobby Whitley | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 3.4% |
| Abigail Proko | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 3.7% |
| Liliana Taub | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 3.9% |
| Gil Hankinson | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 14.8% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.