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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College0.49+6.04vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.35+7.83vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+3.29vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82-1.35vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.91-0.15vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.54-4.66vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.33+1.96vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-0.29vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.42+0.07vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.23-2.97vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.36-4.46vs Predicted
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13Villanova University-1.09-0.88vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-4.20vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.34-5.24vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute-0.56-5.30vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-2.01-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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9.83Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.1%1st Place
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3.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.2%1st Place
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5.85Fordham University0.910.1%1st Place
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2.34Cornell University2.540.4%1st Place
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9.96Princeton University-0.330.0%1st Place
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8.71SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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10.07Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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8.03Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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7.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.360.1%1st Place
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12.12Villanova University-1.090.0%1st Place
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9.8Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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9.76SUNY Maritime College-0.340.0%1st Place
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10.7Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
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14.32U. S. Military Academy-2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clara Guarascio | 3.9% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 3.7% |
| Patrick Modin | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Lawless | 17.0% | 20.8% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Adipietro | 6.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lilly Myers | 40.4% | 24.1% | 14.8% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Taub | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 3.8% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Abigail Proko | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 4.4% |
| Andrew Vernon | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| James Ozaki | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Joe Cooner | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 19.9% | 17.5% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Bobby Whitley | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Thomas Hickey | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 5.6% |
| Gil Hankinson | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 16.8% | 54.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.