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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University0.91+4.72vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.54+0.35vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+2.26vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.35+5.04vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82-2.39vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.49+0.26vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32+1.86vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.23-1.18vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-1.24vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.36-3.46vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.42-1.91vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.34-3.15vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-2.01+0.23vs Predicted
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15Villanova University-1.09-2.91vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute-0.56-5.37vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-0.33-7.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Fordham University0.910.1%1st Place
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2.35Cornell University2.540.4%1st Place
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6.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.1%1st Place
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10.04Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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3.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.2%1st Place
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7.26SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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9.86Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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7.82Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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8.76SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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7.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.360.0%1st Place
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10.09Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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9.85SUNY Maritime College-0.340.0%1st Place
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14.23U. S. Military Academy-2.010.0%1st Place
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12.09Villanova University-1.090.0%1st Place
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10.63Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
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9.9Princeton University-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Adipietro | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lilly Myers | 40.0% | 23.2% | 16.6% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Modin | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 3.9% |
| Bridget Lawless | 17.9% | 21.1% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 4.1% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 3.3% |
| Andrew Vernon | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| James Ozaki | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Abigail Proko | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 4.0% |
| Bobby Whitley | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 4.4% |
| Gil Hankinson | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 13.1% | 55.7% |
| Joe Cooner | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 16.2% |
| Thomas Hickey | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 6.1% |
| Liliana Taub | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.