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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College0.49+6.05vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.54-0.67vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+2.27vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.36+2.63vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.91-0.13vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82-3.39vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32+1.85vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.23-1.15vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-1.23vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.34-1.10vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.35-2.15vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.42-2.89vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-2.01+0.25vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.33-5.30vs Predicted
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16Villanova University-1.09-3.70vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute-0.56-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.05SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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2.33Cornell University2.540.4%1st Place
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6.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.1%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.360.0%1st Place
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5.87Fordham University0.910.1%1st Place
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3.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.2%1st Place
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9.85Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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7.85Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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8.77SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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9.9SUNY Maritime College-0.340.0%1st Place
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9.85Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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10.11Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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14.25U. S. Military Academy-2.010.0%1st Place
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9.7Princeton University-0.330.0%1st Place
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12.3Villanova University-1.090.0%1st Place
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10.65Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clara Guarascio | 3.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Lilly Myers | 40.9% | 22.8% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Modin | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| James Ozaki | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| David Adipietro | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Lawless | 18.2% | 19.7% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 3.3% |
| Andrew Vernon | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Bobby Whitley | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 2.9% |
| Abigail Proko | 1.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 4.6% |
| Gil Hankinson | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 14.2% | 54.9% |
| Liliana Taub | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Joe Cooner | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 20.5% | 17.4% |
| Thomas Hickey | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.