← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.54+1.47vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+3.80vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.36+4.12vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College1.02+1.20vs Predicted
-
6Webb Institute0.72+0.96vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.26-1.55vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Maritime College1.18-2.32vs Predicted
-
9Princeton University-0.18+0.81vs Predicted
-
10Drexel University-0.42+0.60vs Predicted
-
11Princeton University-0.35-0.51vs Predicted
-
12Washington College0.23-3.48vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-3.56vs Predicted
-
14Fordham University0.91-7.69vs Predicted
-
15Villanova University-1.09-2.55vs Predicted
-
16Stevens Institute of Technology-0.92-3.79vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Military Academy-2.01-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.47Cornell University2.540.4%1st Place
-
6.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.1%1st Place
-
8.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.360.0%1st Place
-
6.2SUNY Maritime College1.020.1%1st Place
-
6.96Webb Institute0.720.0%1st Place
-
5.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.260.1%1st Place
-
5.68SUNY Maritime College1.180.1%1st Place
-
9.81Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
-
10.6Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
-
10.49Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
-
8.52Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
-
9.44SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
-
6.31Fordham University0.910.1%1st Place
-
12.45Villanova University-1.090.0%1st Place
-
12.21Stevens Institute of Technology-0.920.0%1st Place
-
14.49U. S. Military Academy-2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lilly Myers | 39.1% | 22.2% | 16.2% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Modin | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| James Ozaki | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Finn Rauch | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Heilshorn | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Anna Flaherty | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Sesack | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Abigail Proko | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 4.5% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 3.6% |
| Andrew Vernon | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| David Adipietro | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joe Cooner | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 21.4% | 16.3% |
| Michael Dasaro | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 21.5% | 12.8% |
| Gil Hankinson | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 16.7% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.