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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.55+1.52vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.10+1.29vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.97+0.49vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.74-0.08vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut1.72+0.62vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.25-1.32vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College1.55-1.06vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.03-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Boston College3.550.3%1st Place
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3.29Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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3.49Boston College2.970.2%1st Place
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3.92University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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5.62University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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4.68Tufts University2.250.1%1st Place
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5.94Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
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6.56Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mullins | 33.0% | 24.1% | 19.0% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Genoa Warner | 19.0% | 20.6% | 17.5% | 17.1% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Ian Donahue | 17.0% | 17.2% | 18.7% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Hunter Mumma | 12.4% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 17.7% | 17.4% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 2.5% |
| Thomas Presti | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 19.7% | 23.7% | 17.4% |
| Jacob Denney | 8.7% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 8.2% |
| Alexander Strothe | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 22.6% | 27.1% |
| Colin Henderson | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 13.9% | 23.0% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.