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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.28+2.43vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.69+2.64vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+1.42vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.84+0.24vs Predicted
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5Stanford University1.82-0.55vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.67-1.16vs Predicted
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7Rice University0.91-0.89vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.45-3.10vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-0.26-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43Tulane University2.2820.8%1st Place
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4.64Florida State University1.6910.8%1st Place
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4.42College of Charleston1.8112.9%1st Place
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4.24Tulane University1.8413.8%1st Place
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4.45Stanford University1.8213.0%1st Place
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4.84University of Wisconsin1.6710.4%1st Place
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6.11Rice University0.915.5%1st Place
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4.9Jacksonville University1.4510.8%1st Place
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7.97Texas A&M University-0.261.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Kelly Holthus | 20.8% | 18.8% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
Peter Foley | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 3.4% |
Emma Tallman | 12.9% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 2.9% |
Matheo Graham-capasso | 13.8% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 2.1% |
Dylan Sih | 13.0% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
William Styslinger | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 4.1% |
Ricky Miller | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 25.1% | 14.6% |
Hank Seum | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 4.5% |
Zachary Aronson | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 12.8% | 65.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.