← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.36+7.09vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82+2.06vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College1.18+2.69vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+3.09vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.54-2.33vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University0.91+0.60vs Predicted
-
7Webb Institute0.72+0.21vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Stony Brook-0.03+1.34vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Maritime College1.02-3.78vs Predicted
-
11Stevens Institute of Technology-0.92+1.19vs Predicted
-
12Washington College0.23-3.39vs Predicted
-
13Princeton University-0.18-3.04vs Predicted
-
14Princeton University-0.35-3.54vs Predicted
-
15Villanova University-1.09-2.53vs Predicted
-
16Drexel University-0.42-5.16vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Military Academy-2.01-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.360.0%1st Place
-
4.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.2%1st Place
-
5.69SUNY Maritime College1.180.1%1st Place
-
7.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.1%1st Place
-
2.67Cornell University2.540.3%1st Place
-
6.6Fordham University0.910.1%1st Place
-
7.21Webb Institute0.720.1%1st Place
-
9.34SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
-
6.22SUNY Maritime College1.020.1%1st Place
-
12.19Stevens Institute of Technology-0.920.0%1st Place
-
8.61Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
-
9.96Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
-
10.46Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
-
12.47Villanova University-1.090.0%1st Place
-
10.84Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
-
14.52U. S. Military Academy-2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Ozaki | 2.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Bridget Lawless | 16.0% | 18.6% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sesack | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Modin | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lilly Myers | 34.5% | 22.3% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Adipietro | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Eric Heilshorn | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Finn Rauch | 7.9% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Dasaro | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 17.5% | 20.4% | 12.3% |
| Andrew Vernon | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Connor Larson | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 4.1% |
| Joe Cooner | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 21.8% | 15.7% |
| Abigail Proko | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 5.2% |
| Gil Hankinson | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 15.9% | 56.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.