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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.54+1.59vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.36+6.16vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.02+3.20vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82+0.12vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.18+0.69vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.91-0.36vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.03+1.57vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute0.72-1.97vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76-3.09vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.23-2.27vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.18-2.05vs Predicted
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13Villanova University-1.09-0.45vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology-0.92-1.90vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.35-4.55vs Predicted
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16Drexel University-0.42-5.19vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-2.01-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59Cornell University2.540.4%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.360.0%1st Place
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6.2SUNY Maritime College1.020.1%1st Place
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4.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.1%1st Place
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5.69SUNY Maritime College1.180.1%1st Place
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6.64Fordham University0.910.1%1st Place
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9.57SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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7.03Webb Institute0.720.0%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.1%1st Place
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8.73Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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9.95Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.55Villanova University-1.090.0%1st Place
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12.1Stevens Institute of Technology-0.920.0%1st Place
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10.45Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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10.81Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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14.5U. S. Military Academy-2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lilly Myers | 35.4% | 23.8% | 17.4% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Ozaki | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Finn Rauch | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Lawless | 14.4% | 18.4% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sesack | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Adipietro | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Eric Heilshorn | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Modin | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Vernon | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Connor Larson | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 2.6% |
| Joe Cooner | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 21.5% | 18.3% |
| Michael Dasaro | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 18.2% | 12.9% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 3.9% |
| Abigail Proko | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 4.0% |
| Gil Hankinson | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 18.8% | 54.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.