Race 1A

pere-marquette

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Tye Rubin 10.6% 12.2% 15.3% 16.5% 16.3% 16.2% 8.1% 3.7% 1.1%
Jonathan Bailey 36.9% 27.3% 18.3% 9.5% 5.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Rishab Nayar 10.0% 10.0% 13.7% 15.7% 17.4% 15.0% 12.6% 4.2% 1.4%
Patrick Schmidt 20.8% 22.8% 20.6% 16.8% 9.9% 6.1% 2.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Solomon Dworsky 8.5% 11.7% 13.0% 16.0% 16.5% 14.2% 11.8% 6.0% 2.3%
Victor Nartovich 1.6% 2.2% 2.6% 3.5% 6.7% 8.3% 14.8% 27.3% 33.0%
Alana Lanser 2.3% 2.5% 2.7% 4.9% 6.7% 11.3% 19.1% 26.2% 24.3%
Etain McKinney 1.9% 2.2% 3.0% 3.6% 4.4% 8.3% 16.1% 24.9% 35.6%
Ryan O'Connor 7.4% 9.1% 10.8% 13.5% 16.8% 18.5% 14.7% 7.1% 2.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.