← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin2.09+1.20vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin0.72+2.38vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin1.41+0.10vs Predicted
-
4Purdue University0.61+0.32vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan0.34-0.20vs Predicted
-
6Marquette University0.49-1.37vs Predicted
-
7University of Minnesota-1.11+0.34vs Predicted
-
9Marquette University-1.11-1.69vs Predicted
-
10University of Notre Dame-0.87-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.2University of Wisconsin2.090.4%1st Place
-
4.38University of Wisconsin0.720.1%1st Place
-
3.1University of Wisconsin1.410.2%1st Place
-
4.32Purdue University0.610.1%1st Place
-
4.8University of Michigan0.340.1%1st Place
-
4.63Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
-
7.34University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
-
7.31Marquette University-1.110.0%1st Place
-
6.93University of Notre Dame-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bailey | 40.0% | 27.6% | 15.5% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tye Rubin | 7.4% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Patrick Schmidt | 21.1% | 20.9% | 19.9% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Rishab Nayar | 9.5% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Ryan O'Connor | 7.3% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 2.8% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 8.6% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Victor Nartovich | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 26.7% | 34.1% |
| Etain McKinney | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 16.6% | 24.5% | 35.1% |
| Alana Lanser | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 20.0% | 25.2% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.