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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.09+1.23vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.61+2.78vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.49+1.86vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.41-0.92vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-1.11+2.41vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame0.08-0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.34-1.88vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.11-0.48vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.72-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23University of Wisconsin2.090.4%1st Place
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4.78Purdue University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.86Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
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3.08University of Wisconsin1.410.2%1st Place
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7.41University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
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5.57University of Notre Dame0.080.1%1st Place
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5.12University of Michigan0.340.1%1st Place
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7.52Marquette University-1.110.0%1st Place
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4.42University of Wisconsin0.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bailey | 40.3% | 26.3% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rishab Nayar | 6.8% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 2.1% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 7.3% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 9.4% | 2.6% |
| Patrick Schmidt | 20.8% | 23.1% | 20.4% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Victor Nartovich | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 24.7% | 40.4% |
| Sophia Henn | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 18.4% | 20.7% | 13.7% | 5.7% |
| Ryan O'Connor | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 10.4% | 4.2% |
| Etain McKinney | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 25.1% | 42.4% |
| Tye Rubin | 9.6% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.