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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.09+1.24vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.41+1.34vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.72+1.45vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.61+0.53vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.49-0.31vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.34-0.91vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-1.11+0.58vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.11-0.48vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame0.08-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24University of Wisconsin2.090.4%1st Place
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3.34University of Wisconsin1.410.2%1st Place
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4.45University of Wisconsin0.720.1%1st Place
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4.53Purdue University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.69Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
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5.09University of Michigan0.340.1%1st Place
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7.58University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
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7.52Marquette University-1.110.0%1st Place
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5.57University of Notre Dame0.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bailey | 40.7% | 24.9% | 16.5% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Schmidt | 17.7% | 21.2% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Tye Rubin | 9.0% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Rishab Nayar | 8.6% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 1.8% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 8.2% | 10.3% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 3.0% |
| Ryan O'Connor | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% |
| Victor Nartovich | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 24.8% | 43.4% |
| Etain McKinney | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 25.9% | 41.6% |
| Sophia Henn | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.