← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin2.09+1.10vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin0.72+2.07vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin1.41-0.01vs Predicted
-
4Purdue University0.61+0.28vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan0.34-0.29vs Predicted
-
6Marquette University0.49-1.62vs Predicted
-
7University of Minnesota-1.11-0.22vs Predicted
-
8Marquette University-1.11-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.1University of Wisconsin2.090.4%1st Place
-
4.07University of Wisconsin0.720.1%1st Place
-
2.99University of Wisconsin1.410.2%1st Place
-
4.28Purdue University0.610.1%1st Place
-
4.71University of Michigan0.340.1%1st Place
-
4.38Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
-
6.78University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
-
6.69Marquette University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bailey | 43.7% | 25.5% | 16.1% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tye Rubin | 9.6% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 8.3% | 2.0% |
| Patrick Schmidt | 20.1% | 24.2% | 20.6% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Rishab Nayar | 8.5% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 19.8% | 16.7% | 9.8% | 2.4% |
| Ryan O'Connor | 6.1% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 21.7% | 14.0% | 3.9% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 9.0% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 10.0% | 3.7% |
| Victor Nartovich | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 25.1% | 47.2% |
| Etain McKinney | 1.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 11.3% | 30.3% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.