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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.55+1.51vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut1.72+3.64vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.25+1.66vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.74-0.11vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.10-1.72vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.97-2.52vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College1.55-1.08vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.03-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Boston College3.550.3%1st Place
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5.64University of Connecticut1.720.1%1st Place
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4.66Tufts University2.250.1%1st Place
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3.89University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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3.28Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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3.48Boston College2.970.2%1st Place
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5.92Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
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6.61Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mullins | 33.0% | 24.2% | 18.3% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Presti | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 19.4% | 22.4% | 19.7% |
| Jacob Denney | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 6.4% |
| Hunter Mumma | 12.4% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 7.1% | 1.7% |
| Genoa Warner | 17.9% | 21.5% | 18.7% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Ian Donahue | 16.5% | 16.8% | 20.6% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Strothe | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 24.7% | 25.8% |
| Colin Henderson | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 22.1% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.