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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.26+3.80vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.19+0.83vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.02+0.45vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.35+0.70vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.34-0.50vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.83-0.23vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.60-2.77vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.82-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8College of Charleston1.268.9%1st Place
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2.83Stanford University2.1928.3%1st Place
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3.45Tulane University2.0219.6%1st Place
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4.7Tulane University1.359.8%1st Place
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4.5Tulane University1.3410.4%1st Place
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5.77University of South Florida0.835.1%1st Place
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4.23University of South Florida1.6012.4%1st Place
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5.71Jacksonville University0.825.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Alfortish | 8.9% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 12.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 28.3% | 22.2% | 19.5% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Samantha Gardner | 19.6% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 10.5% |
| Lucy Spearman | 10.4% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 8.6% |
| Grace Jones | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 31.2% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 12.4% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 6.6% |
| Agija Elerte | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 19.7% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.