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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.84+1.93vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.47+1.64vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.94-0.26vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.00+2.05vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.85+0.72vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-1.14+0.34vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.20-3.04vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-2.42+0.10vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.64-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93University of Wisconsin0.840.2%1st Place
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3.64University of Wisconsin0.470.1%1st Place
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2.74University of Wisconsin0.940.3%1st Place
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6.05Marquette University-1.000.0%1st Place
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5.72University of Minnesota-0.850.1%1st Place
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6.34Purdue University-1.140.0%1st Place
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3.96Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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8.1University of Michigan-2.420.0%1st Place
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5.51University of Notre Dame-0.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Kelly | 24.7% | 22.1% | 20.0% | 15.2% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Sauer | 14.6% | 18.3% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Adam McAvoy | 28.5% | 23.1% | 18.5% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Carney | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 21.8% | 9.2% |
| Jack Rickman | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 18.2% | 7.7% |
| Whitman Jerman | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 21.2% | 23.7% | 12.1% |
| Emma Turner | 12.1% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 12.4% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Hal Berdichesky | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 7.4% | 15.7% | 64.3% |
| Christian Green | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 19.0% | 14.1% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.