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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.84+1.92vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.94+0.90vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.20+0.96vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.00+2.04vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.85+0.69vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-1.14+0.37vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-0.64-1.50vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.47-4.47vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-2.42-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92University of Wisconsin0.840.3%1st Place
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2.9University of Wisconsin0.940.2%1st Place
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3.96Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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6.04Marquette University-1.000.0%1st Place
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5.69University of Minnesota-0.850.1%1st Place
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6.37Purdue University-1.140.0%1st Place
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5.5University of Notre Dame-0.640.1%1st Place
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3.53University of Wisconsin0.470.2%1st Place
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8.08University of Michigan-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Kelly | 25.2% | 21.9% | 19.5% | 15.2% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Adam McAvoy | 23.4% | 25.6% | 19.0% | 14.6% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 13.4% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Carney | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 18.7% | 22.2% | 9.3% |
| Jack Rickman | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 17.3% | 8.7% |
| Whitman Jerman | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 20.9% | 25.5% | 11.9% |
| Christian Green | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 18.4% | 19.0% | 13.7% | 5.3% |
| Peter Sauer | 18.0% | 16.8% | 17.8% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Hal Berdichesky | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 15.2% | 64.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.