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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.84+1.65vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.94+0.58vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.20+0.63vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.47-0.75vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.14+0.69vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.85-0.78vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.21-1.18vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-2.42-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65University of Wisconsin0.840.3%1st Place
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2.58University of Wisconsin0.940.3%1st Place
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3.63Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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3.25University of Wisconsin0.470.2%1st Place
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5.69Purdue University-1.140.0%1st Place
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5.22University of Minnesota-0.850.0%1st Place
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5.82Marquette University-1.210.0%1st Place
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7.17University of Michigan-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Kelly | 27.9% | 24.1% | 20.4% | 15.4% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam McAvoy | 28.2% | 26.4% | 20.2% | 14.4% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma Turner | 13.8% | 15.1% | 18.3% | 20.0% | 17.7% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Peter Sauer | 17.7% | 19.8% | 20.3% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Whitman Jerman | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 16.4% | 23.0% | 27.4% | 12.2% |
| Jack Rickman | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 22.2% | 20.1% | 19.6% | 8.3% |
| Colin Higgins | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 22.7% | 27.1% | 16.3% |
| Hal Berdichesky | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 9.6% | 17.7% | 62.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.