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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.84+1.64vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.20+1.66vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.94-0.39vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.85+1.29vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.47-1.78vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-1.14-0.35vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-2.42+0.20vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.21-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64University of Wisconsin0.840.3%1st Place
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3.66Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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2.61University of Wisconsin0.940.3%1st Place
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5.29University of Minnesota-0.850.0%1st Place
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3.22University of Wisconsin0.470.2%1st Place
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5.65Purdue University-1.140.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Michigan-2.420.0%1st Place
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5.73Marquette University-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Kelly | 28.1% | 24.5% | 20.8% | 14.4% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emma Turner | 13.7% | 14.2% | 18.8% | 20.2% | 17.1% | 11.3% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Adam McAvoy | 28.3% | 25.1% | 20.4% | 14.2% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Rickman | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 24.1% | 21.9% | 8.0% |
| Peter Sauer | 16.8% | 21.1% | 20.0% | 20.3% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Whitman Jerman | 4.4% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 17.1% | 22.9% | 23.0% | 14.7% |
| Hal Berdichesky | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 18.4% | 63.5% |
| Colin Higgins | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 18.1% | 21.0% | 28.4% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.