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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.94+1.51vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.84+0.73vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.47+0.22vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.20-0.34vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.14+0.69vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.85-0.78vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.21-1.20vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-2.42-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51University of Wisconsin0.940.3%1st Place
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2.73University of Wisconsin0.840.3%1st Place
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3.22University of Wisconsin0.470.2%1st Place
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3.66Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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5.69Purdue University-1.140.0%1st Place
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5.22University of Minnesota-0.850.1%1st Place
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5.8Marquette University-1.210.0%1st Place
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7.17University of Michigan-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam McAvoy | 30.9% | 26.1% | 19.1% | 13.0% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Kelly | 25.4% | 24.6% | 21.3% | 15.1% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Sauer | 18.2% | 18.5% | 21.8% | 19.1% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Emma Turner | 13.0% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 21.4% | 17.5% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Whitman Jerman | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 16.1% | 23.2% | 27.9% | 11.9% |
| Jack Rickman | 5.1% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 21.1% | 20.7% | 19.6% | 8.3% |
| Colin Higgins | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 22.7% | 26.8% | 16.3% |
| Hal Berdichesky | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 9.6% | 17.4% | 62.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.