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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.94+1.53vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.20+1.67vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.47+0.21vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.84-1.31vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.14+0.70vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.85-0.75vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-2.42+0.21vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.21-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53University of Wisconsin0.940.3%1st Place
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3.67Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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3.21University of Wisconsin0.470.2%1st Place
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2.69University of Wisconsin0.840.3%1st Place
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5.7Purdue University-1.140.0%1st Place
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5.25University of Minnesota-0.850.0%1st Place
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7.21University of Michigan-2.420.0%1st Place
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5.74Marquette University-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam McAvoy | 30.5% | 25.4% | 19.5% | 14.7% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emma Turner | 12.8% | 15.6% | 18.7% | 20.1% | 16.4% | 10.9% | 5.2% | 0.3% |
| Peter Sauer | 17.9% | 19.7% | 20.5% | 18.5% | 14.6% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Kelly | 27.0% | 23.9% | 19.8% | 16.9% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Whitman Jerman | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 24.0% | 28.3% | 12.0% |
| Jack Rickman | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 20.3% | 21.3% | 20.9% | 8.0% |
| Hal Berdichesky | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 15.1% | 66.1% |
| Colin Higgins | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 15.1% | 23.6% | 27.3% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.