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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.47+2.19vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.84+0.73vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.94-0.43vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.20-0.37vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.14+0.68vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.85-0.77vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.21-1.21vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-2.42-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19University of Wisconsin0.470.2%1st Place
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2.73University of Wisconsin0.840.2%1st Place
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2.57University of Wisconsin0.940.3%1st Place
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3.63Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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5.68Purdue University-1.140.0%1st Place
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5.23University of Minnesota-0.850.1%1st Place
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5.79Marquette University-1.210.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Michigan-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Sauer | 18.2% | 19.4% | 21.4% | 19.4% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Kelly | 24.8% | 25.3% | 20.9% | 16.0% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Adam McAvoy | 30.2% | 23.9% | 21.2% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 13.8% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 20.6% | 17.5% | 10.3% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Whitman Jerman | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 16.2% | 23.0% | 27.7% | 11.9% |
| Jack Rickman | 5.2% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 21.0% | 20.9% | 19.9% | 8.3% |
| Colin Higgins | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 22.1% | 26.7% | 16.3% |
| Hal Berdichesky | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 9.4% | 17.4% | 62.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.