Race 8A

open-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Kelly Holthus 21.2% 19.4% 16.4% 14.3% 10.8% 8.5% 6.4% 2.4% 0.7%
Peter Foley 12.0% 11.3% 12.0% 13.1% 12.6% 12.3% 13.2% 10.2% 3.2%
Dylan Sih 12.2% 13.8% 12.0% 12.6% 12.5% 13.6% 11.8% 9.4% 2.0%
Matheo Graham-capasso 12.7% 13.6% 14.2% 12.8% 13.5% 12.6% 10.9% 7.3% 2.4%
Emma Tallman 12.7% 11.7% 13.4% 13.3% 12.4% 12.4% 12.6% 9.1% 2.4%
William Styslinger 11.3% 13.0% 10.8% 12.4% 13.0% 12.4% 12.0% 11.5% 3.5%
Ricky Miller 5.5% 5.3% 6.5% 8.0% 8.7% 10.3% 15.2% 24.3% 16.2%
Hank Seum 11.1% 10.2% 12.4% 10.7% 13.0% 13.0% 13.2% 12.7% 3.8%
Zachary Aronson 1.3% 1.7% 2.2% 2.8% 3.6% 4.8% 4.6% 13.1% 65.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.