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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.55+1.58vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.97+1.53vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.74+0.87vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.25+0.72vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut1.72+0.61vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College1.55-0.16vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.03-0.38vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.10-4.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Boston College3.550.3%1st Place
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3.53Boston College2.970.2%1st Place
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3.87University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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4.72Tufts University2.250.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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5.84Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
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6.62Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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3.23Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mullins | 30.4% | 27.1% | 17.1% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Ian Donahue | 16.4% | 17.0% | 19.6% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 0.7% |
| Hunter Mumma | 13.7% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 7.3% | 2.3% |
| Jacob Denney | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 18.4% | 13.6% | 8.1% |
| Thomas Presti | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 24.1% | 17.4% |
| Alexander Strothe | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 22.8% | 23.8% |
| Colin Henderson | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 21.7% | 46.4% |
| Genoa Warner | 20.3% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 17.4% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.