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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College0.67+0.94vs Predicted
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2Rollins College-0.51+1.50vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida-1.47+2.02vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology-1.59+1.24vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-1.32-0.21vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-0.85-1.97vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-0.75-3.07vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-3.67-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94Rollins College0.670.5%1st Place
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3.5Rollins College-0.510.1%1st Place
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5.02University of South Florida-1.470.1%1st Place
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5.24Georgia Institute of Technology-1.590.0%1st Place
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4.79North Carolina State University-1.320.1%1st Place
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4.03University of Georgia-0.850.1%1st Place
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3.93Embry-Riddle University-0.750.1%1st Place
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7.55University of Central Florida-3.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Barrett | 48.0% | 26.3% | 15.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Teague | 13.5% | 18.8% | 20.7% | 18.6% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| Michelle Burklund | 5.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 20.3% | 23.3% | 5.0% |
| Alexander Hammond | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 19.4% | 26.8% | 6.6% |
| Campbell Tate | 5.9% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 17.4% | 20.4% | 3.1% |
| Chase Blakleley | 10.2% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 1.6% |
| Jack Rachek | 11.8% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 7.4% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Polera | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 7.8% | 81.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.