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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.97+2.46vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.55+0.61vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.74+0.86vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.72+1.63vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College1.55+0.90vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.25-1.30vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.03-0.36vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.10-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46Boston College2.970.2%1st Place
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2.61Boston College3.550.3%1st Place
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3.86University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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5.63University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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5.9Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
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4.7Tufts University2.250.1%1st Place
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6.64Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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3.22Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Donahue | 17.2% | 18.1% | 19.5% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Mullins | 29.8% | 25.4% | 18.4% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Mumma | 13.7% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Thomas Presti | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 18.0% | 24.3% | 17.9% |
| Alexander Strothe | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 26.9% | 22.8% |
| Jacob Denney | 8.7% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 19.7% | 13.4% | 7.4% |
| Colin Henderson | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 12.2% | 20.2% | 47.2% |
| Genoa Warner | 20.7% | 19.2% | 19.7% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.